Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -138 LAM +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -4.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -2.9 (-4.9) | 155.4 (-1.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -1.8 (-3.8) | 152.8 (+1.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -2.0 (-4.0) | 152.2 (+1.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -2.3 (-4.3) | 155.9 (-1.9) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NICH 53 – 52 LAM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAM 90 – 80 NICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAM 58 – 55 NICH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | LAM 65 – 53 NICH |
| Jan 20, 2025 | LAM 78 – 74 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#225) | -3.3 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#212) | -1.08 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#231) | -1.11 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#188) | 0.424 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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