Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +240 SOU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +9 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | SOU -5.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -6.5 (-2.5) | 141.8 (-2.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -6.2 (-2.8) | 140.9 (-1.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -6.0 (-3.0) | 141.1 (-2.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -5.3 (-3.7) | 142.8 (-3.8) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Feb 27, 2026 | FAMU 82 – 71 SOU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | FAMU 67 – 59 SOU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SOU 91 – 57 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 4-8 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -11.8 (#337) | -2.3 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#273) | 0.51 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#284) | 0.23 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#172) | 0.529 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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