Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | WYO -138 FRES +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -6.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -4.5 (-3.5) | 137.3 (-2.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -4.4 (-3.4) | 137.9 (-2.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -3.9 (-2.9) | 138.9 (-3.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -4.9 (-3.9) | 138.2 (-3.2) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WYO 92 – 82 FRES |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FRES 63 – 60 WYO |
| Mar 5, 2025 | FRES 62 – 58 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WYO 83 – 72 FRES |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FRES 77 – 73 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#210) | -4.5 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#172) | -0.54 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#179) | -0.65 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#141) | 0.477 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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