Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK +320 COLG -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +11 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -2.9 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (+27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -4.4 (-6.6) | 133.8 (+23.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -2.5 (-8.5) | 133.6 (+23.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -2.7 (-8.3) | 134.8 (+22.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -3.1 (-7.9) | 133.5 (+23.5) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | COLG 78 – 59 BUCK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | COLG 95 – 76 BUCK |
| Jan 21, 2025 | COLG 87 – 80 BUCK |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BUCK 66 – 60 COLG |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COLG 68 – 65 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 16-2 |
| Home | 6-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-11 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 64.9 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#285) | 0.2 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#280) | -0.06 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#276) | -0.31 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#272) | 0.499 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.