Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -2500 NJIT +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +21 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -16.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -14.1 (+6.9) | 139.0 (-8.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -12.0 (+9.0) | 139.4 (-8.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -13.3 (+7.7) | 139.7 (-8.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -12.4 (+8.6) | 140.4 (-9.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | UVM 63 – 54 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UVM 70 – 64 NJIT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NJIT 79 – 77 UVM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UVM 71 – 61 NJIT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UVM 68 – 64 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 3-13 |
| Home | 16-1 | 5-8 |
| Away | 10-4 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#142) | -10.7 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#101) | -1.89 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#103) | -2.41 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#114) | 0.413 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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