Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -300 ETSU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -5.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -5.5 (+3.5) | 153.4 (+1.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -3.6 (+5.4) | 148.9 (+6.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -3.8 (+5.2) | 151.2 (+3.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -3.8 (+5.2) | 152.0 (+3.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | FUR 76 – 61 ETSU |
| Feb 18, 2026 | ETSU 78 – 69 FUR |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETSU 75 – 71 FUR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ETSU 72 – 69 FUR |
| Jan 16, 2025 | FUR 73 – 70 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#170) | -2.0 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#224) | 0.32 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#203) | 0.32 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#228) | 0.531 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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