Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UIC +145 BRAD -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +18 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -1.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -3.9 (-14.1) | 132.7 (+3.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -2.9 (-15.1) | 132.4 (+3.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -3.4 (-14.6) | 134.2 (+1.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -2.5 (-15.5) | 133.9 (+2.1) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UIC 93 – 86 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UIC 85 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UIC 93 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 60 UIC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRAD 74 – 47 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 13-7 |
| Home | 6-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#134) | 7.0 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#216) | 1.11 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#154) | 1.27 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#207) | 0.586 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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