Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | DETM +400 NKU -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -10.4 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -10.4 (+5.4) | 138.7 (+18.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -9.9 (+4.9) | 138.4 (+18.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -10.9 (+5.9) | 140.0 (+17.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -11.6 (+6.6) | 139.8 (+17.2) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | DETM 90 – 77 NKU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | NKU 96 – 71 DETM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | NKU 99 – 75 DETM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | DETM 68 – 57 NKU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | NKU 73 – 60 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-31 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 12-8 |
| Home | 1-11 | 12-3 |
| Away | 0-20 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -16.3 (#358) | -1.9 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.36 (#363) | -0.48 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.85 (#363) | -0.58 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#347) | 0.477 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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