Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB -300 PRES +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +16 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -7.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -3.8 (+12.2) | 147.2 (-11.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -3.8 (+12.2) | 146.5 (-10.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -3.8 (+12.2) | 148.1 (-12.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -3.1 (+12.9) | 150.0 (-14.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | PRES 68 – 62 GWEB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRES 92 – 55 GWEB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRES 68 – 57 GWEB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GWEB 63 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 9, 2024 | GWEB 61 – 60 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#247) | -7.6 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#309) | -1.45 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#335) | -1.61 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#280) | 0.394 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 33.2% |
Game Analysis
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