Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE +188 MORE -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +13 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -6.0 (+19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -5.4 (+18.4) | 134.3 (-25.3) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -5.6 (+18.6) | 137.9 (-28.9) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -6.2 (+19.2) | 138.2 (-29.2) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -5.8 (+18.8) | 135.1 (-26.1) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | MORE 67 – 65 SIUE |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MORE 73 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SIUE 80 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIUE 65 – 54 MORE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORE 78 – 63 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#278) | 4.0 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#247) | 1.02 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#250) | 1.10 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#260) | 0.546 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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