Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -250 SJU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +1 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -8.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -6.9 (-5.9) | 146.2 (-15.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -7.0 (-6.0) | 144.7 (-13.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -7.2 (-6.2) | 145.3 (-14.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -6.9 (-5.9) | 145.8 (-14.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SJU 81 – 52 CREI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SJU 90 – 73 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SJU 82 – 66 CREI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SJU 79 – 73 CREI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | CREI 57 – 56 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#12) | 12.5 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#44) | 2.15 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#35) | 2.66 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#44) | 0.605 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 15.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 41.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.4% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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