Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | RMU +145 PFW -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +3 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | PFW -5.1 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (+23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -3.0 (+6.0) | 151.2 (+27.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -5.6 (+8.6) | 150.2 (+28.8) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -5.5 (+8.5) | 152.6 (+26.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -4.9 (+7.9) | 156.4 (+22.6) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | PFW 83 – 71 RMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | PFW 79 – 74 RMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RMU 76 – 69 PFW |
| Dec 8, 2024 | PFW 82 – 77 RMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | PFW 78 – 63 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-9 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 10-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#274) | 3.4 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#331) | 0.72 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#331) | 0.80 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#339) | 0.509 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.