Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -115 DAY -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +10 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | DAY -2.2 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -1.5 (-8.5) | 140.0 (-6.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -2.6 (-7.4) | 138.4 (-4.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -1.9 (-8.1) | 139.0 (-5.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -1.5 (-8.5) | 138.2 (-4.2) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | DAY 78 – 66 DUQ |
| Jan 14, 2026 | DAY 71 – 65 DUQ |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DAY 77 – 76 DUQ |
| Jan 22, 2025 | DAY 82 – 62 DUQ |
| Mar 15, 2024 | DUQ 65 – 57 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-4 | 15-0 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#97) | 11.7 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#78) | 3.08 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#84) | 3.88 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#37) | 0.675 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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