Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | HAW -120 UCI +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +10 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -3.3 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -3.0 (-7.0) | 137.6 (-27.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -2.8 (-7.2) | 136.4 (-26.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -3.4 (-6.6) | 137.5 (-27.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -2.6 (-7.4) | 137.6 (-27.6) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | HAW 71 – 64 UCI |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCI 87 – 76 HAW |
| Jan 11, 2026 | HAW 67 – 66 UCI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UCI 66 – 49 HAW |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCI 71 – 55 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 17-3 |
| Home | 13-6 | 13-0 |
| Away | 4-6 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#157) | 8.0 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#178) | 1.23 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#176) | 1.46 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#199) | 0.571 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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