Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -275 IDST +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +6 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -9.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -7.1 (-13.1) | 137.0 (-5.0) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -6.8 (-12.8) | 140.5 (-8.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -7.0 (-13.0) | 141.7 (-9.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -6.8 (-12.8) | 138.9 (-6.9) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | PRST 85 – 78 IDST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | PRST 88 – 65 IDST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | PRST 93 – 87 IDST |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDST 82 – 74 PRST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PRST 76 – 59 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#201) | -6.9 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#135) | -1.88 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#160) | -2.21 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#126) | 0.381 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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