And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · January 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -4.5 Home covered
O/U 129.5 Over
Money CBU -163 / TAR +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +14 140 Won
Massey CBU -2.5 (+11.5) — —
Massey Totals — 128.6 (+11.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 36% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 36% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -0.9 (+13.1) 130.8 (+9.2) 52% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -1.0 (+13.0) 130.1 (+9.9) 55% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -0.5 (+13.5) 130.7 (+9.3) 52% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -1.5 (+12.5) 129.5 (+10.5) 54% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 CBU 82 – 67 TAR
Feb 6, 2026 CBU 56 – 55 TAR
Jan 3, 2026 TAR 81 – 76 CBU
Mar 14, 2025 CBU 55 – 51 TAR
Mar 7, 2025 CBU 68 – 48 TAR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU TAR
Overall 16-17 25-10
Conference 8-12 16-4
Home 11-7 13-4
Away 4-9 10-5
Neutral 1-1 2-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.1 72.6
Avg Pts Against 67.1 70.2
Massey -0.9 (#183) 0.6 (#159)
Bradley-Terry -0.51 (#229) 0.81 (#109)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.48 (#215) 0.91 (#118)
RPI 0.454 (#253) 0.534 (#117)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU TAR
FG% 40.8% 42.7%
3PT% 31.1% 31.3%
REB / G 36.4 33.2
OREB / G 12.1 11.4
AST / TO 0.87 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.5% 47.5%
TOV% 17.1% 19.3%
ORB% 32.2% 33.5%
FT Rate 25.8% 20.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 20.3%
DRB% 74.4% 66.9%
Opp FT Rate 21.8% 25.8%

Game Analysis

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