Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -300 UNCO +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +6 | 190 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -9.2 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (+27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -6.7 (-12.7) | 153.8 (+36.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -7.1 (-13.1) | 158.8 (+31.2) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -7.6 (-13.6) | 157.0 (+33.0) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -6.8 (-12.8) | 156.8 (+33.2) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONT 95 – 89 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 57 MONT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MONT 88 – 79 UNCO |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MONT 91 – 83 UNCO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONT 86 – 78 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#127) | -2.5 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#112) | 0.12 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#116) | 0.06 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#69) | 0.506 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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