Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +350 WEB -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -11.7 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -9.8 (+11.8) | 133.9 (+6.1) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -12.1 (+14.1) | 136.5 (+3.5) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -11.5 (+13.5) | 138.1 (+1.9) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -12.1 (+14.1) | 135.7 (+4.3) | 17% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SAC 104 – 90 WEB |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WEB 95 – 82 SAC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WEB 83 – 70 SAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SAC 80 – 77 WEB |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WEB 87 – 81 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-24 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#313) | 6.7 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#322) | 1.08 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#310) | 1.71 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#322) | 0.543 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 25.1% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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