Betting Lines
| Spread | USM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | ULM +200 USM -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USM +13 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | USM -1.8 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USM -3.9 (-9.1) | 138.9 (-9.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USM -3.1 (-9.9) | 138.1 (-9.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USM -2.9 (-10.1) | 137.6 (-8.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USM -3.9 (-9.1) | 138.4 (-9.4) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | USM 70 – 60 ULM |
| Jan 1, 2026 | USM 87 – 73 ULM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ULM 81 – 74 USM |
| Jan 10, 2025 | USM 84 – 67 ULM |
| Feb 16, 2024 | ULM 68 – 59 USM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#324) | -4.6 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#340) | 0.13 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#330) | -0.27 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#335) | 0.503 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | USM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 24.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.