Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO -150 LIN +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +6 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -2.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -2.0 (-8.0) | 140.6 (+1.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -1.1 (-7.1) | 139.5 (+2.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -0.8 (-6.8) | 140.6 (+1.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -0.6 (-6.6) | 143.9 (-1.9) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 66 LIN |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SEMO 73 – 61 LIN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIN 88 – 76 SEMO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SEMO 74 – 58 LIN |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LIN 72 – 68 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-7 | 4-10 |
| Away | 1-14 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -15.0 (#353) | -13.0 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#330) | -2.20 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#339) | -2.86 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#331) | 0.383 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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