Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UTA -138 UVU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -2.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -0.9 (+13.1) | 139.5 (+12.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -0.8 (+13.2) | 138.5 (+13.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -0.0 (+14.0) | 139.0 (+13.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -0.2 (+13.8) | 140.8 (+11.2) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UVU 67 – 65 UTA |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UVU 66 – 54 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVU 81 – 60 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UVU 86 – 74 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UVU 94 – 73 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#206) | -0.6 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#237) | 0.34 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#230) | 0.35 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#198) | 0.523 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 24.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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