Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -450 SDAK +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +18 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -11.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -10.4 (+7.6) | 150.9 (-0.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -8.6 (+9.4) | 150.7 (-0.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -8.7 (+9.3) | 152.1 (-2.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -8.7 (+9.3) | 153.1 (-3.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | ORU 67 – 62 SDAK |
| Jan 30, 2026 | SDAK 77 – 69 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SDAK 75 – 74 ORU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 82 ORU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ORU 77 – 62 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 81.5 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#192) | -9.0 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#223) | -1.34 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#227) | -1.80 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#218) | 0.412 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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