Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | OMA -138 UND +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -8.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -4.0 (+14.0) | 139.9 (+0.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -5.6 (+12.4) | 138.8 (+1.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -5.6 (+12.4) | 140.4 (-0.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -5.5 (+12.5) | 140.6 (-0.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UND 76 – 73 OMA |
| Jan 9, 2026 | OMA 90 – 79 UND |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OMA 80 – 77 UND |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OMA 95 – 85 UND |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OMA 73 – 72 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#239) | -8.6 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#291) | -0.89 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#274) | -1.31 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#308) | 0.439 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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