Betting Lines
| Spread | APP -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CCU +250 APP -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +25 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | APP -9.2 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-34.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APP -8.1 (-16.9) | 145.2 (-30.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APP -8.2 (-16.8) | 144.7 (-29.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APP -8.6 (-16.4) | 144.8 (-29.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APP -9.4 (-15.6) | 148.4 (-33.4) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | CCU 67 – 62 APP |
| Dec 18, 2025 | APP 67 – 49 CCU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | APP 64 – 46 CCU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | APP 74 – 51 CCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | APP 88 – 59 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-2 |
| Home | 7-11 | 15-0 |
| Away | 1-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#297) | 5.5 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#338) | 0.94 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#329) | 1.03 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#357) | 0.541 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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