Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | SCU +250 GONZ -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -4.1 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -4.2 (+5.2) | 148.3 (+4.7) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -3.2 (+4.2) | 147.3 (+5.7) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -2.7 (+3.7) | 148.5 (+4.5) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -3.1 (+4.1) | 149.0 (+4.0) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | GONZ 79 – 68 SCU |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GONZ 94 – 86 SCU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 77 SCU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GONZ 95 – 76 SCU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SCU 103 – 99 GONZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 14-2 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#113) | 12.0 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#92) | 1.72 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#98) | 2.38 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#106) | 0.555 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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