← All models
Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.7
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+6.0 | 145.0 | 72% | 69–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.9 | 132.1 | 83% | 74–100 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.7 | 129.2 | 53% | 73–67 | ✗ |
|
|
+11.2 | 139.2 | 78% | 62–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.3 | 128.2 | 86% | 60–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.3 | 132.6 | 86% | 57–68 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.