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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 7.4
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+10.8 | 144.0 | 82% | 79–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.6 | 141.1 | 55% | 86–91 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.7 | 150.5 | 43% | 80–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.1 | 126.8 | 52% | 52–51 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.