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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.1
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington
@
Baylor
|
+10.0 | 153.2 | 82% | 69–78 | ✓ |
East Texas A&M
@
Hawai'i
|
+20.6 | 137.8 | 97% | 74–100 | ✓ |
New Haven
@
UMass Lowell
|
+12.4 | 140.4 | 87% | 73–67 | ✗ |
Columbia
@
UConn
|
+13.0 | 144.6 | 88% | 62–89 | ✓ |
Maine
@
Rutgers
|
+16.2 | 126.8 | 93% | 60–72 | ✓ |
Delaware State
@
Niagara
|
+22.5 | 135.8 | 98% | 57–68 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.