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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 12.6
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Middle Tennessee
@
Tennessee
|
+26.3 | 139.5 | 99% | 64–82 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Oakland
|
-15.2 | 125.7 | 8% | 80–74 | ✓ |
Cal State Bakersfield
@
North Dakota State
|
+10.9 | 144.4 | 84% | 60–94 | ✓ |
Seattle U
@
Washington
|
+7.4 | 143.1 | 75% | 79–70 | ✗ |
Nebraska
@
Hawai'i
|
-5.9 | 139.6 | 30% | 69–55 | ✓ |
Murray State
@
Charlotte
|
-6.2 | 137.4 | 29% | 90–94 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.