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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–0 on winners
spread MAE 5.4
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mercyhurst
@
San Francisco
|
+23.0 | 129.4 | 98% | 59–87 | ✓ |
Tarleton State
@
Indiana State
|
+12.3 | 147.9 | 87% | 71–87 | ✓ |
UMBC
@
Georgetown
|
+16.6 | 153.4 | 93% | 62–86 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.