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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–3 on winners
spread MAE 7.7
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama
@
North Carolina
|
+0.6 | 173.7 | 52% | 89–87 | ✗ |
Illinois
@
Iowa State
|
+2.9 | 151.2 | 61% | 72–69 | ✗ |
NC State
@
Marquette
|
+6.9 | 153.0 | 74% | 67–58 | ✗ |
Gonzaga
@
Purdue
|
+5.8 | 159.5 | 70% | 68–80 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.