Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | BAY -400 OKST +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +9 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | BAY -10.3 (-19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -8.8 (-17.8) | 154.1 (+2.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -7.7 (-16.7) | 149.5 (+7.5) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -8.0 (-17.0) | 151.6 (+5.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -9.3 (-18.3) | 152.1 (+4.9) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | BAY 94 – 79 OKST |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BAY 71 – 61 OKST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BAY 75 – 70 OKST |
| Feb 28, 2023 | BAY 74 – 68 OKST |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BAY 74 – 58 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-2 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-0 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-1 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 21.9 (#2) | 11.6 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.83 (#2) | 3.17 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.81 (#2) | 3.96 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#2) | 0.621 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 42.8% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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