Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | ALCN +125 AAMU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +13 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -3.1 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -2.5 (+15.5) | 137.2 (-20.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -0.0 (+13.0) | 133.8 (-16.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -0.8 (+13.8) | 140.3 (-23.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -1.9 (+14.9) | 136.2 (-19.2) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | ALCN 64 – 62 AAMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ALCN 62 – 52 AAMU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | AAMU 75 – 63 ALCN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | ALCN 74 – 71 AAMU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | ALCN 89 – 76 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-13 | 6-9 |
| Conference | 6-7 | 4-9 |
| Home | 4-3 | 5-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -16.6 (#342) | -11.1 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#324) | -0.46 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.26 (#330) | -1.76 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#267) | 0.475 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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