Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU +110 ALCN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | AAMU -1.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.6 (-17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -1.4 (-4.4) | 154.9 (-9.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | AAMU -2.1 (-5.1) | 153.3 (-8.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | AAMU -2.4 (-5.4) | 156.5 (-11.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -1.7 (-4.7) | 155.3 (-10.3) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | ALCN 64 – 62 AAMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ALCN 62 – 52 AAMU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | AAMU 75 – 63 ALCN |
| Jan 7, 2023 | ALCN 89 – 76 AAMU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | ALCN 69 – 64 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-23 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-5 | 7-3 |
| Away | 4-15 | 7-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -14.1 (#348) | -11.6 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#321) | -2.72 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.81 (#334) | -3.66 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#292) | 0.411 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 60.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.2% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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