Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +13 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -30.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -20.2 (-7.2) | 140.8 (+16.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -19.8 (-6.8) | 147.0 (+10.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -25.9 (-12.9) | 144.5 (+12.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -25.9 (-12.9) | 142.1 (+14.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | GRAM 77 – 52 MVSU |
| Feb 24, 2026 | GRAM 83 – 62 MVSU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GRAM 65 – 54 MVSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | GRAM 54 – 46 MVSU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | GRAM 65 – 61 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-12 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 2-13 |
| Home | 6-4 | 1-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 56.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 87.4 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#305) | -37.0 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#281) | -4.43 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#300) | -6.94 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#275) | 0.341 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 33.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 41.4% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 16.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 12.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 59.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 60.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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