Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -450 M-OH +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +17 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -10.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -9.0 (+8.0) | 145.0 (-6.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -8.5 (+8.5) | 139.1 (-0.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -9.6 (+7.4) | 145.0 (-6.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -9.2 (+7.8) | 144.2 (-5.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | M-OH 110 – 108 OHIO |
| Feb 14, 2026 | M-OH 90 – 74 OHIO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OHIO 75 – 66 M-OH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | M-OH 73 – 69 OHIO |
| Mar 9, 2024 | OHIO 72 – 59 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-8 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 9-8 |
| Home | 8-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#117) | -4.7 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#154) | -0.89 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#158) | -1.29 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#141) | 0.417 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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