Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH -300 NIU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +12 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -13.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -9.2 (+2.8) | 133.1 (-5.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -8.8 (+3.2) | 131.1 (-3.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -9.6 (+2.4) | 134.2 (-6.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -9.5 (+2.5) | 135.2 (-7.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | M-OH 85 – 61 NIU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | M-OH 87 – 58 NIU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 69 NIU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | NIU 62 – 59 M-OH |
| Feb 18, 2023 | M-OH 66 – 65 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 3-16 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 2-12 |
| Home | 7-4 | 2-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 62.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#244) | -14.8 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#252) | -3.09 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#254) | -4.35 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#293) | 0.398 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 25.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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