Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
| Money | TA&M +475 TENN -650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +14 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -16.4 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -11.2 (-2.8) | 130.9 (-8.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -11.7 (-2.3) | 128.3 (-6.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -12.7 (-1.3) | 131.9 (-9.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.4 (-2.6) | 130.4 (-8.4) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | TENN 87 – 82 TA&M |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TENN 77 – 69 TA&M |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TENN 86 – 51 TA&M |
| Feb 11, 2024 | TA&M 85 – 69 TENN |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TA&M 68 – 63 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-10 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 2-8 | 10-7 |
| Home | 6-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-4 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 63.5 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#153) | 20.3 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#86) | 3.12 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#100) | 4.53 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#155) | 0.608 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 25.4% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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