Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +7 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -2.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -1.8 (-8.8) | 144.5 (-11.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -2.1 (-9.1) | 138.7 (-5.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -1.2 (-8.2) | 143.4 (-10.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -1.4 (-8.4) | 144.5 (-11.5) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | HALL 69 – 64 MARQ |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HALL 79 – 73 MARQ |
| Feb 19, 2025 | MARQ 80 – 56 HALL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 59 HALL |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MARQ 75 – 57 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 10-9 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#64) | 9.9 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#84) | 1.56 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#79) | 2.77 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#66) | 0.571 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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