Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | URI -550 DUQ +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | URI -9.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -7.6 (-5.6) | 133.0 (+23.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -8.0 (-6.0) | 134.6 (+21.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -8.3 (-6.3) | 134.7 (+21.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -7.9 (-5.9) | 134.2 (+21.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | DUQ 67 – 61 URI |
| Mar 5, 2026 | URI 64 – 52 DUQ |
| Feb 1, 2026 | DUQ 76 – 61 URI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 55 URI |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DUQ 85 – 71 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 1-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 3-11 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#123) | -6.6 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#182) | -1.41 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#161) | -1.54 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#171) | 0.430 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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