Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
| Money | NOLA -145 AMCC +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -2.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -2.4 (+6.6) | 150.5 (-3.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -2.7 (+6.3) | 149.2 (-2.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -2.4 (+6.6) | 149.6 (-2.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -1.6 (+7.4) | 150.3 (-3.3) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | AMCC 74 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NOLA 84 – 78 AMCC |
| Dec 31, 2025 | AMCC 83 – 69 NOLA |
| Mar 4, 2025 | AMCC 95 – 62 NOLA |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AMCC 97 – 83 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-7 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#257) | -4.4 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#239) | -0.80 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#232) | -1.09 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#226) | 0.439 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 24.9% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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