Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +24 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | GB -1.7 (-25.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -0.9 (-23.1) | 133.1 (+6.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -0.3 (-24.3) | 135.9 (+4.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GB -0.5 (-24.5) | 136.8 (+3.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -0.7 (-23.3) | 134.1 (+5.9) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | GB 85 – 63 YSU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | YSU 88 – 81 GB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YSU 81 – 77 GB |
| Jan 19, 2025 | YSU 73 – 69 GB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | YSU 71 – 59 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-9 |
| Home | 4-9 | 13-7 |
| Away | 1-13 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#268) | -1.6 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#328) | -0.86 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#322) | -1.16 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#251) | 0.419 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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