Norfolk State
Spartans
70
–
61
FINAL
Neutral
Booste Mobile Chris Paul HBCU Challenge
Hampton
Pirates
Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | NORF -190 HAMP +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +9 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -2.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -5.4 (+3.6) | 141.1 (-10.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -3.2 (+5.8) | 143.1 (-12.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -3.6 (+5.4) | 144.6 (-13.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -2.8 (+6.2) | 144.6 (-13.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | NORF 62 – 60 HAMP |
| Nov 17, 2024 | NORF 67 – 58 HAMP |
| Nov 14, 2023 | NORF 75 – 68 HAMP |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NORF 83 – 71 HAMP |
| Dec 17, 2022 | NORF 78 – 66 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#272) | -7.3 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#75) | -1.94 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#67) | -2.75 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#197) | 0.364 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 35.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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