Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | MILW +120 CLE -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +13 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -2.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -2.3 (-10.7) | 145.9 (+27.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -2.7 (-10.3) | 146.4 (+26.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -1.8 (-11.2) | 145.1 (+27.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -2.6 (-10.4) | 145.7 (+27.3) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CLE 90 – 88 MILW |
| Dec 21, 2025 | MILW 81 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLE 77 – 60 MILW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | MILW 79 – 67 CLE |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MILW 71 – 68 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#221) | -0.6 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#162) | 0.05 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#177) | -0.01 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#109) | 0.514 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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