Youngstown State
Penguins
63
–
75
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Barbasol Horizon League
Northern Kentucky
Norse
Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -188 NKU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -4.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -2.2 (-14.2) | 139.5 (-1.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -2.4 (-14.4) | 138.4 (-0.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -3.4 (-15.4) | 139.6 (-1.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -2.7 (-14.7) | 141.3 (-3.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | YSU 64 – 58 NKU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | NKU 94 – 79 YSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NKU 88 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | YSU 72 – 61 NKU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | YSU 82 – 52 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 64.7 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#114) | -0.6 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#138) | 0.07 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#136) | 0.17 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#125) | 0.532 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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