Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -175 SEMO +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +15 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -4.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -3.7 (+11.3) | 156.4 (+14.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -3.3 (+11.7) | 155.5 (+15.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -3.5 (+11.5) | 153.8 (+17.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -3.4 (+11.6) | 155.6 (+15.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 56 SEMO |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIUE 68 – 55 SEMO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SIUE 69 – 48 SEMO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 68 SIUE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | SEMO 80 – 64 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#239) | -5.3 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#240) | -0.91 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#255) | -1.24 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#197) | 0.479 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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