Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SDST +163 ORU -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -6.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -3.9 (-0.1) | 150.1 (-16.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -3.4 (-0.6) | 147.8 (-13.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -3.5 (-0.5) | 149.8 (-15.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -4.3 (+0.3) | 150.6 (-16.6) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDST 87 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SDST 95 – 72 ORU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SDST 77 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SDST 84 – 70 ORU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SDST 79 – 63 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 18-0 |
| Home | 10-2 | 16-0 |
| Away | 6-9 | 11-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#163) | 10.1 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#119) | 2.18 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#154) | 2.49 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#56) | 0.613 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 15.9% |
Game Analysis
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