Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH +188 OHIO -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +17 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -6.3 (+23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -6.6 (+23.6) | 152.4 (+0.6) | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -6.3 (+23.3) | 148.1 (+4.9) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -6.0 (+23.0) | 151.4 (+1.6) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -6.6 (+23.6) | 153.2 (-0.2) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | M-OH 110 – 108 OHIO |
| Feb 14, 2026 | M-OH 90 – 74 OHIO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OHIO 75 – 66 M-OH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | M-OH 73 – 69 OHIO |
| Mar 9, 2024 | OHIO 72 – 59 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-9 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#302) | 2.2 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#326) | 0.24 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#326) | 0.27 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#323) | 0.520 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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