Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | CSU -300 WYO +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -7.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -6.1 (+6.9) | 142.2 (+12.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -6.2 (+6.8) | 139.3 (+15.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -5.9 (+7.1) | 142.2 (+12.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -6.0 (+7.0) | 142.4 (+12.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CSU 79 – 68 WYO |
| Feb 1, 2026 | WYO 68 – 57 CSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CSU 88 – 53 WYO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CSU 79 – 63 WYO |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CSU 70 – 62 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-6 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#109) | 0.4 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#148) | -0.60 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#144) | -0.44 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#151) | 0.476 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 18.4% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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