Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -600 ETAM +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +4 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -11.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -10.7 (-14.7) | 147.3 (+16.7) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -8.6 (-12.6) | 144.7 (+19.3) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -12.3 (-16.3) | 145.7 (+18.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -10.1 (-14.1) | 145.4 (+18.6) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | AMCC 84 – 71 ETAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | AMCC 61 – 50 ETAM |
| Feb 4, 2025 | AMCC 78 – 66 ETAM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | AMCC 86 – 63 ETAM |
| Jan 30, 2024 | AMCC 69 – 54 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#178) | -8.3 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#193) | -1.32 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#187) | -1.99 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#165) | 0.438 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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